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Xiamen Feilu logoXiamen FeiluvsBIT logoBIT

COMPLETED

China · League Two · 9/19/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Xiamen Feilu · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Xiamen Feilu 3-0 BIT

Original prediction

Xiamen Feilu

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5358.8%62.2%3.4 pts
Draw3.5925.0%22.6%-2.4 pts
Away5.5516.2%15.2%-1.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.2–013%
  3. 3.1–112%

Predicted outcome

Xiamen Feilu

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Xiamen Feilu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Xiamen FeiluLLWDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BITWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Xiamen FeiluBIT
42.0Attack31.9
58.0Defence39.1
42.0Form27.5
48.9Power35.7
1.71xG0.71
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