Xiamen Chengyivs
Shenzhen 2028
COMPLETEDChina · FA Cup · 4/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xiamen Chengyi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Xiamen Chengyi are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the FA Cup, while Xiamen Chengyi holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Xiamen Chengyi
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
14.3%
Xiamen Chengyi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40