GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 4/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Xiamen Chengyi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Xiamen Chengyi are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Shenzhen 2028 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the FA Cup, while Xiamen Chengyi holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Xiamen Chengyi

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

14.3%

Xiamen Chengyi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Xiamen ChengyiL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Shenzhen 2028DLDDL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Xiamen ChengyiShenzhen 2028
0.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power47.8
1.22xG1.22
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