Xerezvs
Tenerife II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Xerez 0-0 Tenerife II, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Xerez 2-1 Tenerife II
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.7% | 37.9% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.1% | 32.4% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.2% | 29.7% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Xerez 0–0 Tenerife II
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
XerezLDLDD
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tenerife IIWWWLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
XerezTenerife II
31.4Attack66.7
76.5Defence66.7
57.8Form100.0
58.0Power80.3
0.81xG0.68