Xerezvs
Don Benito
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xerez · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Xerez 0-0 Don Benito, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Xerez 0-0 Don Benito
Original prediction
Xerez
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.3% | 42.1% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.5% | 32.1% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.2% | 25.9% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Projected Score
Xerez 0–0 Don Benito
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Xerez
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Xerez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
XerezLDDWD
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Don BenitoWWLLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
XerezDon Benito
31.4Attack50.0
76.5Defence50.0
57.8Form50.0
58.0Power50.0
0.88xG0.54