Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xelajú · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Xelajú 0-0 Mixco, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Xelajú 4-1 Mixco
Original prediction
Xelajú
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.5% | 38.4% | -21.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.6% | 30.2% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 5.36 | 16.9% | 31.4% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Projected Score
Xelajú 0–0 Mixco
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Xelajú
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Xelajú has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
XelajúDLWLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MixcoWWWLL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
XelajúMixco
0.0Attack30.7
33.3Defence70.2
0.0Form47.4
15.3Power51.2
0.74xG0.88