Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
35%
HighconfidenceXelajú are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mixco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 49.8 against 51.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Liga Nacional, favouring a draw with 35.5% confidence, a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
XelajúDLLLW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MixcoWLLLW
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
XelajúMixco
29.6Attack30.7
70.4Defence70.2
43.5Form47.4
49.8Power51.2
0.56xG0.50