Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Xelajú are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FAS are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FAS hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67