Xelajúvs
Deportivo San Pedro
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xelajú · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Xelajú 2-0 Deportivo San Pedro
Original prediction
Xelajú
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.4% | 51.0% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.9% | 25.7% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 6.19 | 14.7% | 23.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Xelajú
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Xelajú has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60