Xelajúvs
Comunicaciones
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/27/2026, 2:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xelajú · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Xelajú 2-3 Comunicaciones
Original prediction
Xelajú
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.3% | 58.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 23.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 18.2% | 18.2% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Xelajú
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Xelajú has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60