Xelajúvs
Cobán Imperial
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xelajú · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Xelajú 0-0 Cobán Imperial
Original prediction
Xelajú
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.5% | 51.3% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.0% | 25.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 6.73 | 13.5% | 23.6% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Xelajú
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Xelajú has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00