Xankəndi FKvs
MOIK
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xankəndi FK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Xankəndi FK 0-2 MOIK
Original prediction
Xankəndi FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.2% | 39.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.7% | 28.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.1% | 32.4% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Xankəndi FK
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Xankəndi FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20