Xankəndi FKvs
Mingəçevir
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 10/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xankəndi FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Xankəndi FK 0-1 Mingəçevir
Original prediction
Xankəndi FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 81.3% | 59.4% | -21.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.69 | 13.7% | 22.4% | 8.7 pts |
| Away | 18.37 | 5.0% | 18.2% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Xankəndi FK
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Xankəndi FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80