Xankəndi FKvs
Şahdağ
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 10/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Şahdağ · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Xankəndi FK 1-0 Şahdağ
Original prediction
Şahdağ
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.65 | 19.4% | 21.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 25.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.5% | 53.8% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Şahdağ
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Şahdağ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40