GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Wycombe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Swindon Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 18.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

75.6%

Model confidence

75.6%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WycombeDDWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon TownWLLDL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
WycombeSwindon Town
58.3Attack22.2
75.0Defence11.1
87.5Form11.1
76.3Power18.5
2.77xG0.76
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