Wycombevs
Sheffield Wednesday
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wycombe 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 35.6% | 28.4% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.6% | 25.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 37.8% | 46.4% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20