Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wycombe 2-2 Reading
Original prediction
Reading
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.8% | 27.3% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.8% | 22.9% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 36.4% | 49.8% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WycombeWWDDW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ReadingWLLWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WycombeReading
52.4Attack77.8
33.3Defence61.1
42.9Form55.6
45.4Power62.7
1.32xG2.29