Wycombevs
Notts County
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wycombe 2-0 Notts County
Original prediction
Wycombe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 47.8% | 42.4% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.8% | 24.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 25.4% | 33.0% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wycombe
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WycombeLWDWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Notts CountyWLWLL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WycombeNotts County
51.9Attack33.3
25.9Defence54.2
37.0Form29.2
41.0Power41.8
1.53xG1.41