Wycombevs
Milton Keynes Dons
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Milton Keynes Dons · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wycombe 3-3 Milton Keynes Dons
Original prediction
Milton Keynes Dons
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.3% | 33.2% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.4% | 27.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.3% | 39.5% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Milton Keynes Dons
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Milton Keynes Dons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00