GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Wycombe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

64.0%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WycombeDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fulham U21LWLLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WycombeFulham U21
58.3Attack66.7
75.0Defence33.3
87.5Form41.7
76.3Power50.3
2.41xG1.02
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