GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Wycombe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (WDDD), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

64.0%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WycombeLLWLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Fulham U21WDDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 2.25/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
WycombeFulham U21
58.3Attack66.7
75.0Defence33.3
87.5Form41.7
76.3Power50.3
2.41xG1.02
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