GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Wycombe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Crystal Palace U21 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 59.6-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

75.6%

Model confidence

75.6%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WycombeWWLWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Crystal Palace U21WWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
WycombeCrystal Palace U21
58.3Attack22.2
75.0Defence11.1
87.5Form0.0
76.3Power16.7
2.78xG0.76
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