GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wycombe are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Crawley Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

56.5%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WycombeWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Crawley TownDDLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
WycombeCrawley Town
58.3Attack66.7
75.0Defence46.7
87.5Form66.7
76.3Power63.4
2.10xG1.10
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