GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Wycombe are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Colchester are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 41.5-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

75.7%

Model confidence

75.7%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WycombeLDDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ColchesterDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
WycombeColchester
58.3Attack25.0
75.0Defence16.7
87.5Form50.0
76.3Power34.9
2.76xG0.74
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