GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 1/31/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wycombe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WycombeDLDWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Brighton U21DWDDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
WycombeBrighton U21
58.3Attack44.4
75.0Defence66.7
87.5Form50.0
76.3Power53.7
1.68xG0.85
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