GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/18/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wycombe are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (76.3 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WycombeLDDLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC WimbledonWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WycombeAFC Wimbledon
58.3Attack61.1
75.0Defence61.1
87.5Form55.6
76.3Power59.2
1.79xG1.04
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