Wuxi Wugouvs
Yanbian Longding
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yanbian Longding · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuxi Wugou 2-0 Yanbian Longding
Original prediction
Yanbian Longding
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.0% | 34.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.4% | 27.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.6% | 38.5% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Yanbian Longding
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Yanbian Longding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60