Wuxi Wugouvs
Suzhou Dongwu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wuxi Wugou · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuxi Wugou 2-2 Suzhou Dongwu
Original prediction
Wuxi Wugou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.6% | 49.8% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.6% | 26.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.8% | 23.9% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Wuxi Wugou
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Wuxi Wugou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00