Wuxi Wugouvs
Shaanxi Union
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shaanxi Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuxi Wugou 2-0 Shaanxi Union
Original prediction
Shaanxi Union
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.24 | 21.4% | 24.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 25.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.8% | 49.9% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Shaanxi Union
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80