Wuxi Wugouvs
Ningbo Professional
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wuxi Wugou · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuxi Wugou 1-0 Ningbo Professional
Original prediction
Wuxi Wugou
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.6% | 47.5% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.8% | 26.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.6% | 25.9% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Wuxi Wugou
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Wuxi Wugou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40