Wuxi Wugouvs
Nantong Zhiyun
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Wuxi Wugou 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuxi Wugou 1-3 Nantong Zhiyun
Original prediction
Nantong Zhiyun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.6% | 31.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.4% | 28.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.0% | 39.8% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Projected Score
Wuxi Wugou 0–0 Nantong Zhiyun
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Nantong Zhiyun
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20