GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/31/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Wuhan Three Towns are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Yunnan Yukun are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Yunnan Yukun hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

8.1%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wuhan Three TownsDDDDL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Yunnan YukunLDWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Wuhan Three TownsYunnan Yukun
47.6Attack65.2
39.7Defence37.9
31.7Form47.0
41.3Power51.5
1.86xG2.24
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