Wuhan Three Townsvs
Shanghai Shenhua
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua
Original prediction
Shanghai Shenhua
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 34.5% | 30.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.2% | 19.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 42.4% | 50.2% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Shenhua
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60