Wuhan Three Townsvs
Shandong Luneng
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuhan Three Towns 3-5 Shandong Luneng
Original prediction
Shandong Luneng
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.9% | 29.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 49.1% | 46.6% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Shandong Luneng
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40