Wuhan Three Townsvs
Qingdao Youth Island
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wuhan Three Towns · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 Qingdao Youth Island
Original prediction
Wuhan Three Towns
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.0% | 40.4% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.6% | 26.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 25.4% | 33.4% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Wuhan Three Towns
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Wuhan Three Towns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20