GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wuhan Three Towns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wuhan Three Towns are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wuhan Three Towns hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Super League, while Wuhan Three Towns holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wuhan Three Towns

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Wuhan Three Towns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wuhan Three TownsDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao JonoonWWLDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Wuhan Three TownsQingdao Jonoon
47.6Attack44.9
39.7Defence36.2
31.7Form30.4
41.3Power38.9
1.98xG1.49
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