Wuhan Three Townsvs
Henan Jianye
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 9/12/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wuhan Three Towns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Henan Jianye
Original prediction
Wuhan Three Towns
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 12:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 34.4% | 37.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.0% | 26.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 39.7% | 36.0% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wuhan Three Towns
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Wuhan Three Towns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80