GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/21/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wuhan Three Towns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wuhan Three Towns are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hangzhou Greentown hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Super League, while Wuhan Three Towns holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wuhan Three Towns

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Wuhan Three Towns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wuhan Three TownsLLLDW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hangzhou GreentownDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wuhan Three TownsHangzhou Greentown
47.6Attack49.2
39.7Defence42.9
31.7Form46.0
41.3Power47.3
1.73xG1.68
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