GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/13/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dalian Zhixing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Wuhan Three Towns are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dalian Zhixing are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dalian Zhixing hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Super League, while Dalian Zhixing holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dalian Zhixing

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

10.5%

Dalian Zhixing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wuhan Three TownsLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dalian ZhixingLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Wuhan Three TownsDalian Zhixing
47.6Attack50.8
39.7Defence42.9
31.7Form50.8
41.3Power50.2
1.71xG1.75
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