Wuhan Three Towns leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Wuhan Three Towns head into this in Super League fixture at Wuhan Sports Centre in mixed form (L), while Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive in mixed form (D). Wuhan Three Towns have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Chongqing Tongliang Long over 1 games.

The model rates Wuhan Three Towns's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Chongqing Tongliang Long defence, and Chongqing Tongliang Long's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 Wuhan Three Towns backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Wuhan Three Towns have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Chongqing Tongliang Long have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Chongqing Tongliang Long have generated 0.34 xG per game recently while conceding 1.05 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Wuhan Three Towns and Chongqing Tongliang Long in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Wuhan Three Towns to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 4314%, Draw 2803%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 2883%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Wuhan Three Towns

L

@ Dalian Zhixing

4 Jul 2026

2–3

L

@ Beijing Guoan

27 Jun 2026

0–1

D

vs Shenyang Urban

16 May 2026

2–2

Chongqing Tongliang Long

D

@ Chengdu Better City

11 Jul 2026

1–1

xG 0.7

W

vs Tianjin Teda

27 Jun 2026

1–0

W

@ Qingdao Jonoon

24 May 2026

1–0

xG 0.0

L

@ Shandong Luneng

16 May 2026

1–3

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