GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 10/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Wuhan Three Towns II 0-0 Tai'an Tiankuang, with an exact score probability of 27%.

Prediction record

Final result

Wuhan Three Towns II 2-0 Tai'an Tiankuang

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3138.8%28.6%-10.2 pts
Draw2.9530.3%33.6%3.3 pts
Away2.9030.8%37.8%6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.3 pts

Projected Score

Wuhan Three Towns II 0–0 Tai'an Tiankuang

Exact score probability: 27%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.6%

Model confidence

37.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wuhan Three Towns IIDWLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tai'an TiankuangDWDDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wuhan Three Towns IITai'an Tiankuang
29.5Attack37.2
62.8Defence69.2
30.8Form47.4
42.4Power53.6
0.56xG0.78
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