Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Voitsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
WSPG Wels 2-6 Voitsberg
Original prediction
Voitsberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.7% | 34.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.3% | 24.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 39.1% | 41.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Voitsberg
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Voitsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WSPG WelsDWDLL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VoitsbergLLLWD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
WSPG WelsVoitsberg
40.7Attack48.1
29.6Defence37.0
29.6Form33.3
36.7Power41.5
1.64xG1.84