WSPG Welsvs
First Vienna
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 9/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
First Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
WSPG Wels 1-3 First Vienna
Original prediction
First Vienna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.24 | 21.6% | 19.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.7% | 22.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 51.7% | 58.4% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
First Vienna
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
First Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40