GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 9/13/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

WSG Wattens · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

WSG Wattens 2-2 TSV Hartberg

Original prediction

WSG Wattens

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1343.7%45.9%2.2 pts
Draw3.5026.5%26.1%-0.4 pts
Away3.1229.8%28.0%-1.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

WSG Wattens

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

WSG Wattens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WSG WattensWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
TSV HartbergWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
WSG WattensTSV Hartberg
46.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence46.7
46.7Form40.0
48.8Power43.3
1.56xG1.04
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