WSG Wattensvs
Ried
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
WSG Wattens 1-2 Ried
Original prediction
Ried
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.4% | 37.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.5% | 24.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 38.1% | 37.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ried
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WSG WattensWWLDW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
RiedDWDWL
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
WSG WattensRied
42.9Attack52.4
42.9Defence42.9
38.1Form38.1
42.0Power45.6
1.55xG1.54