WSG Wattensvs
Grazer AK
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
WSG Wattens · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
WSG Wattens 1-1 Grazer AK
Original prediction
WSG Wattens
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 38.1% | 62.5% | 24.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.7% | 19.9% | -7.7 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 34.3% | 17.6% | -16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
WSG Wattens
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
WSG Wattens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00