Würzburger Kickersvs
Waldhof Mannheim
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waldhof Mannheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Würzburger Kickers 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim
Original prediction
Waldhof Mannheim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.14 | 28.8% | 27.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 20.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.9% | 52.0% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Waldhof Mannheim
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Waldhof Mannheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60