Würzburger Kickersvs
Hansa Rostock
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hansa Rostock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Würzburger Kickers 0-2 Hansa Rostock
Original prediction
Hansa Rostock
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.9% | 31.8% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 26.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.2% | 41.5% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Hansa Rostock
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Hansa Rostock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00