Würzburger Kickersvs
Alemannia Aachen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alemannia Aachen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Würzburger Kickers 1-0 Alemannia Aachen
Original prediction
Alemannia Aachen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.6% | 29.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 23.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.9% | 47.9% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Alemannia Aachen
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Alemannia Aachen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40