GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Nord · 7/26/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Würzburger FV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Würzburger FV are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Abtswind are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Würzburger FV hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while Würzburger FV holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Würzburger FV

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Würzburger FV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Würzburger FVWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
AbtswindLDDLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Würzburger FVAbtswind
83.3Attack59.3
50.0Defence55.6
58.3Form54.6
63.5Power56.9
1.88xG1.64
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