Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wörgl are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 6.00 conceded, while Polessya are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Polessya hold a 54.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Polessya holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/6.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00