Wrexhamvs
Wolves U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wrexham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Wrexham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wolves U21 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wrexham hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Wrexham holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wrexham
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Wrexham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25